SBP’s Forex Reserves Plunge by $415 Million Due to Rising External Debt

The foreign reserves held by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) fell week-over-week by $415 million (2.2 percent) to $18.15 billion, mainly due to external debt repayments.

According to the data released by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), the foreign exchange reserves decreased to $18.15 billion in the week.

The total liquid foreign reserves held by the country stood at $24.63 billion, down by $395 million, as of 17 December 2021. During the week, the foreign exchange reserves of commercial banks stood at $6.47 billion.

In retrospect, the Pakistani Rupee is struggling to stay resolute against the US dollar. Although the local unit managed to halt the exchange spillover as various economic indicators consolidated in the past 24 hours, the weight of expectations suggests that pressure will persist for the next few months due to little movement in commodity prices.

Moreover, if the current account deficit remains between the $1.5-2 billion bracket during the period in question, the exchange rate could go through more hoops of fire, and so will the reserves held with the central bank.

Historically, SBP’s reserves soared to a record high of $20.15 billion in August after the International Monetary Fund directed Special Drawing Rights worth $2,751.8 million to the former. However, the SBP’s reserves began to decline steadily during the same month, which it attributed to the fulfillment of debt repayments and other related regulations.

Source: Pro Pakistani

PAC Unhappy With Finance Ministry’s Handling of COVID-19 Relief Fund

The Public Accounts Committee (PAC) voiced its concerns regarding the Finance Ministry’s briefing on the Rs. 1,240 billion COVID-19 relief package, on Wednesday, after the ministry reportedly failed to satisfy the committee.

During an audit briefing of the Finance Division, the committee expressed its concern that only Rs. 186 billion of the principal amount of Rs. 500 billion promised by Prime Minister Imran Khan for citizen relief has been released so far and was surprised that the remaining Rs. 334 billion has not been made available yet.

According to the Ministry of Finance, Rs. 334 billion was spent on COVID-19 in 2019-20, Rs. 187.89 billion in 2020-21, and Rs. 352 billion so far this financial year, while $2.6 billion was received in external financing for budget assistance, project funding, and grants during the pandemic.

Officials from the Finance Ministry told the committee that the Rs. 1,240 billion relief program was an overall package rather than a one-year deal, adding that out of the total funds, Rs. 365 billion in non-cash aid and Rs. 875 billion in cash aid were initially planned. Officials explained to the committee that Rs. 334 billion was issued from additional sources in the fiscal year 2019-20.

It was informed that during COVID-19, the prime minister proposed a package worth Rs. 200 billion to provide assistance to daily wage employees, for which a supplementary grant of Rs. 16 billion was released and Rs. 184 billion was still pending.

Funds totaling Rs. 150 billion were declared for vulnerable families, with Rs. 145 billion in extra grants allocated for those without shelter. Additionally, Rs. 50 billion was announced for Utility Stores, but only Rs. 10 billion was granted. Moreover, while an Rs. 100 billion subsidy for electricity and gas was announced, the committee complained that a supplemental grant to the tune of only Rs. 15 billion had been provided thus far.

In extension, the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) got Rs. 168 billion between March 2020 and December 2021, of which, Rs. 144 billion was spent against COVID-19 and a fund of Rs. 17.4 billion was available, according to the authority’s chairman. He told the committee that China has approved a grant of Rs. 404 million for anti-corona measures and remarked that a few objections of the audit were unrelated to the NDMA.

In response to a question on the source of funding for the Rs. 1,240 billion relief package, officials from the Finance Ministry stated that no external funds were used in the first year of 2019-20. The committee was dissatisfied with the finance ministry officials’ briefing, and the PAC chairman instructed the officials to come prepared next time.

Source: Pro Pakistani

CCoE Considers Recommendations for Maximizing Gas Supply to Residential Consumers

A meeting of the Cabinet Committee on Energy (CCoE) was held under the Chairmanship of Federal Minister for Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives Asad Umar in Islamabad on Thursday.

The Cabinet Committee on Energy considered the report on the issue of enhancement of domestic liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) production. Deputy Chairman Planning Commission presented the recommendations on the way forward for maximizing affordable gas supply to the residential consumers. The committee underscored the need for addressing both the short-term and longer-term gas sector issues. Petroleum Division was asked to review the recommendations and move a summary to ECC for a decision.

CCoE also considered the report compiled by the Deputy Chairman Planning Commission on the establishment of vehicle-based LNG import terminals. The committee was informed of significant investor interest in the sector and the need for LNG import in the country. Port Authorities and Oil and Gas Regulatory Authority (OGRA) are to process the applications as per LNG Policy 2011.

The committee asked for activation of the task force, envisaged in the LNG Policy, to act as a facilitator for the timely completion of the terminal projects. The task force and relevant ministries were asked to review the recommendations and present a concrete way forward and any decisions required by the government.

The meeting was attended by Adviser to the Prime Minister on Finance and Revenue, Minister for Energy, Minister for Maritime Affairs, Minister for Interior, Adviser to PM on Commerce & Industries, Deputy Chairman Planning Commission, Chairman OGRA, Chairman NEPRA, representatives of regulatory authorities and other senior officials.

Source: Pro Pakistani

SBP Responds to FIA Crackdown on Credit Cards Used for Cryptocurrency Trading

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) has stated that the Federal Investigation Agency (FIA) is the appropriate authority to investigate illegal transactions in cryptocurrencies.

Responding to queries raised by ProPakistani, an SBP spokesperson said in case any illegal transaction in cryptocurrencies was discovered, FIA was the appropriate authority to investigate. He made it clear that it was not the central bank’s prerogative to examine any individual if he or she is engaged in the aforenamed illegal activity.

Referring to the recent FIA seizure of over 1,000 bank accounts for crypto transactions, the spokesperson said the central bank had issued a clear directive to the banking sector with regard to the illegality of dealing in cryptocurrency.

To a question, the spokesperson mentioned SBP was conducting internal studies on cryptocurrencies as part of its future monetary strategies in the country. He said, “the case for cryptocurrencies in Pakistan is currently sub judice,” meaning that there should be no public discussions on the said subject.

It is worth considering that despite hopes of a regulatory shift toward adopting digital assets as legal tender, the situation is now incredibly uncertain to determine whether the country will see digital assets regularized in the next few years. So far, the sale and purchase of virtual assets are prohibited under the SBP’s Circular No. 3 of the Banking Policy and Regulation Department (BPRD) dated 6 April 2018.

Earlier this week, FIA seized bank accounts of 1,064 individuals who had carried out 2,923 transactions worth a whopping Rs. 51 million through numerous online exchanges, including Binance, Coinbase, and Coinmama. Moreover, the bank accounts of individuals who had been using Binance P2P to buy or sell cryptocurrencies were also frozen.

Pakistan is among the top 15 in the world for digital currency adoption as of July 2021. According to the President Federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FPCCI), Pakistanis currently possess cryptocurrencies worth $20 billion.

Source: Pro Pakistani

3G/4G Users in Pakistan Reach 106.68 Million

The number of 3G and 4G users in Pakistan reached 106.68 million by the end of November 2021 as compared to 105.73 million by the end of October 2021, registering an increase of 0.95 million, according to the PTA data.

The number of cellular subscribers in Pakistan increased by 0.8 million to 188 million by the end of November 2021 as compared to 187.20 million by the end of October 2021. Teledensity for cellular mobile increased from 85.33 percent by the end of October to 85.65 percent by the end of November. The total teledensity increased from 86.47 percent by the end of October to 86.79 percent by the end of November.

Monthly Next Generation Mobile Service (NGMS) penetration stood at 48.60 percent by the end of November against 48.19 percent by the end of October 2021. Jazz’s total count for 3G users stood at 6.915 million by the end of November as compared to 7.049 million by the end of October 2021, registering a decrease of 0.134 million. The number of Jazz 4G users jumped from 34.275 million by the end of October to 34.527 million by the end of November.

Zong 3G subscribers decreased from 3.844 million by the end of October to 3.758 million by the end of November, while the number of 4G users jumped from 25.413 million by the end of October to 25.950 million by the end of November.

The number of 3G users of Telenor decreased from 4.356 million by the end of October to 4.217 million by the end of November. The number of 4G users jumped from 19.128 million by the end of October to 19.444 million by the end of November.

Ufone’s 3G users decreased from 4.063 million by the end of October to 3.960 million by the end of November. The number of its 4G users increased from 6.437 million by the end of October to 6.722 million by the end of November.

Source: Pro Pakistani

COVID-19’s Impact on Pakistan’s Transport Sector: Report

The most significant impact of the COVID-19 for road and rail transport in Pakistan was on border-crossing time as trade facilitation indicator (TFI) averaged 55.7 hours, far above the 28.3 hours in 2019, states the Asian Development Bank (ADB).

The bank, in its report, “CAREC Corridor Performance Measurement and Monitoring Annual Report 2020, the Coronavirus Disease and its Impact,” has recommended for concluding Afghanistan–Pakistan Transit Trade Agreement negotiation to resolve the remaining issues on transit trade — a cornerstone for other transit trade that could attract other CAREC members.

Border-crossing fees and total transport costs saw little change. From 2019 to 2020, the former changed from $283 to $280, while the latter stayed at $704. Speed without delay (SWOD) changed from 10.6 km/h in 2019 to 8.0 km/h in 2020, and speed with delay (SWD) changed from 28.2 km/h to 28.1 km/h.

Torkham and Chaman continued to remain time-consuming border crossing points (BCPs), worsened by the pandemic.

The average time to cross the border at Torkham increased from 60.1 hours in 2019 to 70.7 hours in 2020, whereas, in Chaman, the time increased from 35.7 hours in 2019 to 50.0 hours in 2020.

Pakistan continued intensive efforts to increase transit and trade efficiency, adopting modern trade facilitation measures. Work on a national single window and authorized economic operators continued. The customs management system called WeBoc was upgraded to perform multimodal transit to effect TIR operations.

The National Logistics Policy was sent to the federal cabinet for review at the beginning of 2021. When the COVID-19 began to raise alarms worldwide, the government ordered a moratorium on all cross-border activities beginning early March 2020, resulting in a stoppage of all border activities at Torkham and Chaman BCPs.

This resulted in a large number of containers bound for Afghanistan being stuck at the seaport, inland customs offices, and the two BCPs. By 14 March 2020, Pakistan Customs reported that 1,587 containers and 526 containers remained in Quetta and Peshawar, respectively, after they were released from the Karachi seaport. By 22 April 2020, it was estimated that in Karachi, at least 6,000 TEUs got stranded in the seaport bound for Afghanistan.

The average border-crossing time in Q2 2020 for Pakistan surged to 81 hours on average, which was double that of Q2 2019 and Q1 2020. This was driven by the increased border-crossing time at Torkham and Chaman in Q2 2020.

Throughout 2020, the border-crossings remained challenging due to the additional sanitary controls and health checks, on top of the existing time-consuming procedures.

The Bank gave several recommendations including,

1. Approve the National Freight Logistics Policy (NFLP)

The NFLP consists of 10 objectives, 13 policy actions, and 125 specific recommendations. The endorsement of the policy by the Cabinet will resolve many long-standing issues that constrain the freight and logistics sector, such as port congestion, underdeveloped multimodal transport, and high cost of transportation. Yet as of Q1 2021, the Cabinet has not formally endorsed the policy since it was completed in March 2020.

2. Enhance traffic control via “smart parks and tags.”

Pakistan authorities have taken action to terminate illegal private parking lots near the border and implemented radio frequency identification (RFID)-enabled tags to coordinate movements of vehicles so that border-crossing at major BCPs such as Torkham could be more efficient. Strong actions are needed as the shortage of tags during COVID-19 resulted in additional delays. Private operators of parking spaces could be encouraged under public-private partnership so that the vehicles do indeed move in a coordinated and organized manner, using smart technologies such as RFID.

3. Promote Ghulam Khan as an international border-crossing point

Torkham is consistently one of the most time-consuming BCP due to high traffic, and presently the situation is aggravated by the ongoing construction works under the CAREC Regional Improvement of Border Services (RIBS) project. Pakistan has already designated Ghulam Khan as the third international BCP, a laudable move that needs to be supported with infrastructure upgrades and installment of equipment and trained personnel. This would attract traffic and relieve the congestion at Torkham.

4. Incentivize freight trains from Karachi to Peshawar

Currently, all Afghan transit trade is transported on trucks. New freight train services were launched in 2019, from Karachi to Lahore. If the freight train service could extend to Peshawar as the terminus, this would allow a cost-effective solution to facilitate transit trade and reduce shipment costs, which are now high due to the sole reliance on trucking.

Pakistan exports tropical fruits to Tajikistan, with Afghanistan serving as a transit country. Due to security conditions within Afghanistan and the ongoing negotiation to conclude the stalled Afghanistan–Pakistan Transit Trade Agreement (APTTA) 2010, multiple changes of trucks are required.

The Turkmenistan–Afghanistan–Pakistan–India pipeline was progressing, although it was hampered by security concerns over Taliban-held areas in the north-western region of the country. This project would balance the supply of energy from surplus in Turkmenistan to deficit areas in India and Pakistan.

The report further noted that the country participates in the continuous dialogue on the Afghanistan–Pakistan Transit Trade Agreement (APTTA) 2010, a bilateral agreement between Afghanistan and Pakistan, which resumed negotiations in 2019.

The latest discussions also included the exploration of setting up border markets, an invitation to Afghanistan to participate in the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), as well anti-corruption measures along the transit routes.

On a positive note, neighboring countries, Pakistan and Uzbekistan have discussed actively with Afghanistan on a railway linking Mazar-i-Sharif to Peshawar, creating a railway corridor along with the three countries, it added.

Source: Pro Pakistani

Fully Functional FGPMA Necessary for Best Utilization of Govt’s Assets: Adviser

Adviser to the Prime Minister on Finance and Revenue Shaukat Tarin held a meeting with Special Assistant to the Prime Minister (SAPM) on E-Commerce Senator Aun Abass Buppi at Finance Division on Thursday.

Senator Buppi extended congratulations to the adviser on being elected as a member of the Senate. He further apprised the adviser on the progress being made on the establishment of the Federal Government Properties Management Authority (FGPMA).

The adviser said FGPMA has been mandated to ensure getting the best value for money for the government’s assets and properties. He stressed the need to make FGPMA fully functional at the earliest for the best utilization of government’s assets. He also extended his full support and cooperation in this regard.

Source: Pro Pakistani

Rupee Finally Breaks Its Record-Breaking Streak Against the US Dollar After US Good News

The Pakistani Rupee (PKR) posted minimal gains against the US Dollar (USD), appreciating three paisas to stand at Rs. 178.12 against the greenback in the interbank market today. It hit an intra-day low of Rs. 178.65 against the USD during today’s open market session.

The PKR appreciated by 0.02 percent against the USD and closed at Rs. 178.12 today after it lost 10 paisas and closed at an all-time low of 178.15 in the interbank market on Wednesday, 22 December.

Although the local unit managed to halt the exchange spillover as various economic indicators consolidated in the past 24 hours supported by the US news that it is resuming aid to Afghanistan. However, the weight of expectations suggests that pressure will persist for the next few months due to little movement in commodity prices. Moreover, if the current account deficit remains between the $1.5-2 billion bracket during the period in question, the exchange rate could go through more hoops of fire.

Twisting the knife even further, it has been estimated by prominent authorities that Pakistan’s circular debt could plummet to levels as steep as Rs. 50 billion.

Globally, Reuters reported on Wednesday that oil prices surged following a larger-than-expected fall in US inventories, despite concerns over the spread of the Omicron variant’s impact on economic activity.

In light of the PKR’s interbank performance during the trading hours earlier today, the former Treasury Head of Chase Manhattan Bank, Asad Rizvi, stated, “Yesterday, [the] PKR settled at its weakest level after hitting yet another new low of 178.20. On June 30, [the] PKR closed at 157.5437. In CFY, it has tumbled 13.1%. This week despite OMICRON oil prices [which] surged by $5, & if measures are not taken to curb imports, [the] trade gap will bother.”

The PKR continued its declining trend against most of the other major currencies. It posted big losses of Rs. 1.57 against the Australian Dollar (AUD), Rs. 1.79 against the Pound Sterling (GBP), and 90 paisas against the Canadian Dollar (CAD).

It also posted losses of Rs. 1.09 against the Euro (EUR) in today’s interbank currency market.

Conversely, the rupee managed to halt any big movements against both the UAE Dirham (AED) and the Saudi Riyal (SAR) in today’s interbank currency market.

Source: Pro Pakistani